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Demand scenarios #315

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Demand scenarios #315

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fc283d3
setting up new scenarios
lindnemi Jan 23, 2025
4f22208
use logger instead of print
lindnemi Jan 23, 2025
99e72f8
[pre-commit.ci] auto fixes from pre-commit.com hooks
pre-commit-ci[bot] Jan 23, 2025
b2a1cfa
fix modify_industry_demand
lindnemi Jan 23, 2025
840cc3c
rename prefix
lindnemi Jan 23, 2025
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion .gitignore
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -276,4 +276,4 @@ cutouts


# custom local files
local
local
4 changes: 3 additions & 1 deletion config/config.yaml
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Expand Up @@ -4,7 +4,7 @@

# docs in https://pypsa-eur.readthedocs.io/en/latest/configuration.html#run
run:
prefix: 20241203-force-onwind-south
prefix: 20250122-demand-scenarios
name:
# - CurrentPolicies
- KN2045_Bal_v4
Expand All @@ -14,6 +14,8 @@ run:
# - KN2045plus_LowDemand
# - KN2045minus_WorstCase
# - KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
# - KN2045_Bal_LowDemand
# - KN2045_Bal_HighDemand
scenarios:
enable: true
manual_file: config/scenarios.manual.yaml
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146 changes: 146 additions & 0 deletions config/scenarios.manual.yaml
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No need to repeat the config[solving][constraints] since they are the same in the config.yaml.
I would rather not repeat to keep the scenarios.manual.yaml file as short as possible which makes it easier to read and understand the differences between scenarios.

Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -709,3 +709,149 @@ KN2045minus_SupplyFocus:
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3


KN2045_Bal_LowDemand:
# Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
# Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
# Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
# Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien

iiasa_database:
reference_scenario: KN2045plus_LowDemand
fallback_reference_scenario: KN2045_Bal_v4
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG

costs:
horizon: "mean"
NEP: 2023
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
solving:
constraints:
# boundary condition of maximum volumes
limits_volume_max:
# constrain electricity import in TWh
electricity_import:
DE:
2020: -20
2025: 0
2030: 0
2035: 40
2040: 80
2045: 125
electrolysis:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 5
2030: 45
2035: 130
2040: 215
2045: 300
h2_derivate_import:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 0
2030: 10
2035: 105
2040: 200
2045: 300
h2_import:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 5
2030: 15
2035: 115
2040: 220
2045: 325
limits_volume_min:
electrolysis:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 0
2030: 0
2035: 0
2040: 0
2045: 0
limits_capacity_min:
Link:
H2 Electrolysis:
DE:
2030: 5
industry:
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3


KN2045_Bal_HighDemand:
# Ausgewogener Mix an Technologien zur Dekarbonisierung der Sektoren
# Breites Energieträgerportfolio in der Endenergie (Strom, Wasserstoff, synthetische Kraftstoffe)
# Ausbau der erneuerbare Stromerzeugung erreicht politisch gesetzte Ziele
# Importe erneuerbar erzeugter Energien auf mittlerem Niveau
# dient als Referenzszenario in der Familie der Ariadne-Szenarien

iiasa_database:
reference_scenario: KN2045minus_SupplyFocus
fallback_reference_scenario: KN2045_Bal_v4
co2_budget_DE_source: KSG

costs:
horizon: "mean"
NEP: 2023
transmission: "overhead" # either overhead line ("overhead") or underground cable ("underground")
solving:
constraints:
# boundary condition of maximum volumes
limits_volume_max:
# constrain electricity import in TWh
electricity_import:
DE:
2020: -20
2025: 0
2030: 0
2035: 40
2040: 80
2045: 125
electrolysis:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 5
2030: 45
2035: 130
2040: 215
2045: 300
h2_derivate_import:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 0
2030: 10
2035: 105
2040: 200
2045: 300
h2_import:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 5
2030: 15
2035: 115
2040: 220
2045: 325
limits_volume_min:
electrolysis:
DE:
2020: 0
2025: 0
2030: 0
2035: 0
2040: 0
2045: 0
limits_capacity_min:
Link:
H2 Electrolysis:
DE:
2030: 5
industry:
steam_biomass_fraction: 0.4
steam_hydrogen_fraction: 0.3
steam_electricity_fraction: 0.3
1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions workflow/Snakefile
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Expand Up @@ -386,6 +386,7 @@ use rule build_existing_heating_distribution from pypsaeur with:
rule modify_industry_demand:
params:
db_name=config_provider("iiasa_database", "db_name"),
reference_scenario=config_provider("iiasa_database", "reference_scenario"),
input:
ariadne=resources("ariadne_database.csv"),
industrial_production_per_country_tomorrow=resources(
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12 changes: 6 additions & 6 deletions workflow/scripts/modify_industry_demand.py
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Expand Up @@ -62,16 +62,18 @@
)
.loc[
leitmodell,
snakemake.config["iiasa_database"]["reference_scenario"],
snakemake.params.reference_scenario,
"Deutschland",
:,
"Mt/yr",
]
.multiply(1000)
)

print(
logger.info(
"German industry demand before modification",
)
logger.info(
existing_industry.loc[
"DE",
[
Expand All @@ -86,7 +88,6 @@
"Ceramics & other NMM",
],
],
sep="\n",
)

# write Cement, Ammonia and Methanol directly to dataframe
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -130,8 +131,8 @@
"DE", ["Electric arc", "Integrated steelworks", "DRI + Electric arc"]
] = (ratio * ariadne.loc["Production|Steel", year])

print(
"German demand after modification",
logger.info("German demand after modification")
logger.info(
existing_industry.loc[
"DE",
[
Expand All @@ -146,7 +147,6 @@
"Ceramics & other NMM",
],
],
sep="\n",
)

existing_industry.to_csv(
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion workflow/scripts/plot_ariadne_variables.py
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Expand Up @@ -11,7 +11,7 @@
def plot_trade(
df,
savepath,
):
):
# WARNING CODE DUPLICATION
# WARNING i just asked COPILOT to reformat the two plots below
# load data and convert to TWh
Expand Down
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