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Global wind droughts

This repository contains scripts to reproduce the results of the following paper:

Enrico G. A. Antonini, Edgar Virgüez, Sara Ashfaq, Lei Duan, Tyler H. Ruggles, Ken Caldeira, "Identification of reliable locations for wind power generation through a global analysis of wind droughts", Communications Earth & Environment, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01260-7.

If you need a copy of the paper or have any questions about the scripts, please email me at enrico.antonini@cmcc.it.

[Note: Already postprocessed data including wind power densities and energy deficits are available in the following Zenodo repository.]

Prerequisites

To run the scripts in this repository, you need to have:

  • Conda, which is an open source package management system and environment management system that comes with Anaconda or Miniconda.
  • CDS API key, which is needed to download the climate data from the Copernicus' Climate Data Store.
  • 6 TB of free disk space. 3 TB are needed to download the climate data and 3 TB are needed to process the climate data and calculate the wind power densities and energy deficits.
  • Sufficient RAM memory to process the climate data. Downloaded climate files each containing a single variable for a single year are about 17 GB. Other derived files have dimensions up to 68 GB. I would recommend at least 128 GB of RAM memory. Some steps were intentionally made supre basic to minimize the RAM memory usage.

[Note: If you download the already postprocessed data, you only need to have Conda. The scripts for analyzing them can be run on a regular laptop.]

Conda environments

The environments folder contains yaml files to create conda environments for

  • downloading climate data from the Copernicus' Climate Data Store,
  • processing the climate data and calculate the wind power densities and energy deficits,
  • analyzing the wind power densities and energy deficits and generating the figures of the paper.

A conda environment can be created by running the following command:

conda env create --file selected_environment.yml

where you need to specify the actual yaml file name.

[Note: If you download the already postprocessed data, you only need to create the environment for analyzing the final data.]

Climate data download

[Required conda environemt: download_climate_data]

To download the climate data from the Copernicus' Climate Data Store, you need to run the following command from within the script_and_data folder:

python step0_download_data.py

The download will take several hours, depending on your internet connection, and will require about 3 TB of disk space.

[Note: If you download the already postprocessed data, the climate data download is not necessary.]

Climate data processing

[Required conda environemt: wind_droughts_processing]

To process the climate data and calculate the wind power densities and energy deficits, you need to run the following commands from within the script_and_data folder.

[Note: If you download the already postprocessed data, the climate data processing is not necessary.]

Step 1

Get the wind speed time series in a given year and its annual mean:

python step_1_get_wind_speed_and_annual_mean_in_year.py year

where you need to specify the actual year.

Step 2

Get the wind power density time series in a given year and its annual mean:

python step_2_get_wind_power_density_and_annual_mean_in_year.py year

where you need to specify the actual year.

Step 3

Get the mean wind speed and mean wind power density across all years:

python step_3_get_mean_wind_speed_and_power_density.py

Step 4

Initialize the climatological wind power density time series file for subsequent steps:

python step_4_create_climatological_wind_power_density_array.py

Step 5

Add the wind power density time series in a given year to the climatological wind power density time series:

python step_5_add_wind_power_density_in_year.py year

where you need to specify the actual year.

Step 6

Divide the climatological wind power density time series by the number of years:

python step_6_divide_climatological_wind_power_density.py

Step 7

Get the energy deficit for the seasonal variability:

python step_7_get_energy_deficit_for_seasonal_variability.py

Step 8

Get the energy deficit for the weather variability in a given year:

python step_8_get_energy_deficit_for_weather_variability_in_year.py year

where you need to specify the actual year.

Step 9

Get the energy deficit for wind droughts:

python step_9_get_energy_deficit_for_wind_droughts_in_year.py year

where you need to specify the actual year.

Note that step 8 and 9 generate energy deficit for a specific year and save it to a single file. All the generated files should then be combined into a single file.

Results analysis

[Required conda environemt: wind_droughts_analysis]

To analyze the wind power densities and energy deficits and generate the figures of the paper, you need to run the following command from within the script_and_data folder:

python step_10_analyze_results.py

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This repository contains scripts to calculate global distributions of and trends in wind droughts.

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