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Statistics Courseworks (Imperial)

This repository contains solutions for different Statistics courseworks at Imperial College London (2021-2024).

MATH70044: Applied Statistical Inference CW (2023-2024)

  • Investigated the impact of a stimulant on heart rate, analyzing its relationship with BMI and treatment groups.
  • Performed exploratory data analysis, generating summaries and visualizations to understand trends and distributions.
  • Implemented and compared linear regression and Gamma GLM models, assessing model fit and estimating the treatment effect with confidence intervals.
  • Conducted a simulation study to evaluate the power of detecting treatment effects and provided a clear summary for both statisticians and non-experts.

📜 Coursework Specification
📝 Coursework Report

MATH70046: Time Series Analysis CW (2023-2024)

  • Manually simulated an AR(4) process, exploring pseudo-cyclical behavior and dominant frequencies using different parameter settings.
  • Implemented spectral estimation methods, including periodograms and direct spectral estimators, to analyze frequency components.
  • Investigated bias in spectral estimators, running simulations to compare periodogram and cosine-tapered direct estimates.
  • Analyzed real-world sea level data, estimating spectral densities and identifying dominant frequencies using direct spectral estimation.
  • Developed and compared AR models using Yule-Walker and maximum likelihood estimation, selecting the best model based on predictive performance.
  • Forecasted future sea level values, computing prediction intervals to quantify uncertainty in the forecasts.

📜 Coursework Specification
📓 Coursework Notebook | 🔗 View in nbviewer | 📝 View PDF

MATH70047: Stochastic Simulation CW (2023-2024)

  • Developed Monte Carlo estimation techniques to compute marginal likelihoods and perform model selection.
  • Implemented sampling algorithms, including Random Walk Metropolis (RWMH), Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA), and Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm (ULA), to generate posterior distributions.
  • Built a Gibbs sampler by deriving full conditionals for a 2D posterior.

📜 Coursework Specification
📓 Coursework Notebook | 🔗 View in nbviewer | 📝 View PDF

MATH 50013: Probability and Statistics for JMC CW (2021-2022)

  • Implemented Monte Carlo integration to estimate an improper integral, analyzing variance and optimizing the choice of sampling distribution.
  • Derived and applied probability transformations, using uniform random variables to generate samples from a power-law distribution.
  • Estimated the MLE for galaxy mass distributions and studied its variability through Monte Carlo simulations.
  • Designed and tested a hypothesis to distinguish between competing power-law models, estimating statistical power and performing an empirical test on real data.

📜 Coursework Specification | 🛠️ Typos
📝 Coursework Report
📂 Coursework Files

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Statistics Courseworks @ Imperial College London (2021-2024)

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