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@toniseibold toniseibold commented Dec 10, 2024

Adding the following plots to the plotting routine:

  • electricity import/export
  • hydrogen import/export
  • installed capacities Germany
  • updated storage plot (for Germany only)
    image
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  • Workflow with target rule ariadne_all completes without errors
  • The logic of export_ariadne_variables has been adapted to the changes
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  • One or several figures that validate the changes in the PR have been posted as a comment
  • A brief description of the changes has been added to Changelog.md
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  • The latest main has been merged into the PR
  • The config has a new prefix of the format YYYYMMDDdescriptive_title

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Ariadne Variables

Comparison
NRMSE Pearson
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Biomass 0.620 0.033
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Biomass|Solids 0.620 0.033
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.620 0.033
Secondary Energy|Solids|Biomass 0.599 -0.087
Primary Energy|Biomass|Solids 0.599 -0.087
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Solids|Biomass 0.598 -0.653
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Solids 0.598 -0.653
Final Energy|Solids|Biomass 0.598 -0.319
Final Energy|Solids 0.550 0.303
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Hydro 0.499 0.185
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Storage Converter|Hydro Dam Reservoir 0.495 -0.825
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Storage Reservoir|Hydro Dam Reservoir 0.495 -0.825
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Liquids|Petroleum 0.493 0.273
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Liquids 0.485 0.255
Price|Secondary Energy|Gases|Hydrogen 0.482 0.000
Trade|Primary Energy|Biomass|Volume 0.482 0.276
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Storage Converter|Stationary Batteries 0.481 0.482
Capacity|Electricity|Storage Converter 0.469 0.442
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Liquids|Oil 0.460 0.000
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Liquids 0.460 0.000
Capacity Additions|Heat|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.441 0.606
Capacity Additions|Heat|Biomass 0.441 0.606
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Biomass 0.440 0.606
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.440 0.606
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Biomass|Solids 0.440 0.606
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Liquids|Biomass 0.421 0.016
Investment|Energy Supply|Heat|Gas 0.410 0.227
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Hydrogen|OC 0.409 -0.200
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Hydrogen|OC 0.409 -0.200
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Hydro 0.408 -0.333
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Gas|OC 0.404 0.710
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Wind|Offshore 0.398 0.281
Capacity Additions|Heat|Storage Reservoir 0.393 0.224
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Storage Converter 0.390 0.222
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Storage Reservoir 0.390 0.222
System Cost|Capex|Gases|Hydrogen 0.385 0.704
Investment|Energy Supply|Heat|Storage Reservoir 0.373 0.592
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Storage Reservoir|Stationary Batteries 0.347 0.790
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Storage Reservoir 0.347 0.790
System Cost|Capex|Heat|Biomass|w/ CCS 0.339 0.797
System Cost|Capex|Heat|Resistive heater 0.337 0.959
Capacity|Heat|Resistive heater 0.336 0.958
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Distribution 0.335 0.548
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Biomass|w/ CCS 0.333 0.813
Secondary Energy|Heat|Electricity|Resistive 0.332 0.752
Primary Energy|Biomass|Heat 0.332 0.791
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Heat 0.330 0.561
Capacity Additions|Heat|Gas 0.325 0.543
Secondary Energy|Heat|Biomass 0.321 0.805
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Electricity 0.319 0.777
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Hydrogen|FC 0.316 0.854
System Cost|Capex|Heat|Storage Reservoir 0.316 0.863
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Renewable 0.315 0.813
Investment|Energy Supply|Heat|Resistive heater 0.314 0.904
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Gas|w/ CCS 0.314 0.882
Capacity|Heat|Storage Reservoir 0.312 0.861
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Resistive heater 0.305 0.908
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Gas|CC 0.305 0.834
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Gas|w/ CCS 0.303 0.943
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Electricity|Heat Pumps 0.303 0.815
Capacity|Heat|Storage Converter 0.302 0.863
Capacity Additions|Heat|Storage Converter 0.302 0.863
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.302 0.828
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Biomass 0.302 0.828
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Biomass|Solids 0.302 0.827
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Storage Reservoir 0.294 0.846
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission and Distribution 0.294 0.656
Capacity|Electricity|Gas|OC 0.289 0.878
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Wind Offshore 0.288 0.667
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Wind|Offshore 0.288 0.667
Length Additions|Electricity|Transmission|AC 0.282 0.609
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Transmission|AC 0.282 0.609
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Gases 0.279 0.888
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Storage Converter 0.279 0.870
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|Offshore 0.275 0.691
Primary Energy|Gas|Electricity 0.274 0.894
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|DC|Offshore 0.273 0.697
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Gases|Natural Gas 0.271 0.893
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Gas|OC 0.268 0.966
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Gas 0.265 0.904
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Gas 0.253 0.914
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Gas 0.251 0.926
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Gas|w/o CCS 0.251 0.926
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Biomass|Solid 0.247 0.886
Primary Energy|Biomass 0.247 0.949
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Gases|Biomass 0.246 0.969
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Solids|Biomass 0.240 0.742
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Solids 0.240 0.742
Capacity Additions|Heat|Resistive heater 0.230 0.933
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Transmission 0.228 0.800
Capacity Additions|Heat|Renewable 0.228 0.768
Secondary Energy|Heat|Gas 0.228 0.897
Primary Energy|Gas|Heat 0.228 0.919
Investment|Energy Supply|Hydrogen|Transmission and Distribution|Endogen|New-build 0.226 0.846
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Curtailment 0.211 0.822
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity 0.206 0.802
Emissions|CO2|Energy|Demand|Residential and Commercial 0.205 0.886
Capacity Additions|Heat 0.202 0.751
Capacity|Electricity|Distribution 0.201 0.914
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Distribution 0.201 0.914
Final Energy|Gases 0.199 0.938
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|AC|Onshore 0.198 0.822
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Wind 0.197 0.850
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission|DC 0.196 0.843
Primary Energy|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.193 0.983
Final Energy|Gases|Natural Gas 0.191 0.942
Capacity|Heat|Renewable 0.189 0.917
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.187 0.939
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Biomass 0.187 0.939
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Gases 0.182 0.897
Capacity|Electricity|Transmission|AC 0.177 0.907
Primary Energy|Gas|Gases 0.175 0.950
Primary Energy|Oil|Electricity 0.174 0.914
Secondary Energy Input|Electricity|Heat 0.168 0.958
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Space and Water Heating 0.168 0.935
Final Energy|Residential and Commercial 0.168 0.935
Cost|Total Energy System Cost 0.166 0.938
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Biomass|w/o CCS 0.164 0.962
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Biomass 0.164 0.962
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Transmission 0.163 0.894
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Wind|Offshore 0.159 0.939
Capacity|Electricity|Wind|Offshore 0.159 0.938
Final Energy|Industry excl Non-Energy Use|Gases|Biomass 0.158 0.958
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Wind|Offshore 0.155 0.941
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar 0.155 0.916
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar|PV 0.155 0.916
System Cost|Capex|Electricity 0.153 0.938
Price|Primary Energy|Biomass 0.150 0.961
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop 0.148 0.937
Price|Final Energy|Industry|Solids|Biomass 0.147 0.970
Final Energy|Industry|Gases|Biomass 0.147 0.962
Secondary Energy|Gases|Natural Gas 0.146 0.956
Primary Energy|Gas 0.146 0.956
Emissions|CO2|Energy|Supply|Gases 0.146 0.956
Emissions|Gross Fossil CO2|Energy|Supply|Gases 0.146 0.956
Price|Final Energy|Residential and Commercial|Electricity 0.145 0.943
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Wind 0.142 0.923
Secondary Energy|Gases 0.140 0.958
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop 0.139 0.962
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar|PV|Open Field 0.137 0.967
Final Energy|Non-Energy Use|Gases|Biomass 0.128 0.970
Secondary Energy|Heat 0.126 0.943
Capacity Additions|Electricity|Solar|PV|Open Field 0.124 0.953
Capacity Additions|Hydrogen|Electricity 0.124 0.969
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Hydrogen 0.122 1.000
System Cost|OPEX|Heat|Hydrogen 0.122 1.000
System Cost|OPEX|Electricity|Hydrogen|CC 0.122 1.000
Secondary Energy Input|Hydrogen|Electricity 0.121 1.000
Secondary Energy Input|Hydrogen|Heat 0.121 1.000
Secondary Energy|Electricity|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
Secondary Energy|Heat|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Hydrogen|CC 0.121 1.000
System Cost|Capex|Heat|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
Capacity|Electricity|Hydrogen|CC 0.121 1.000
Capacity|Heat|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
Capacity|Electricity|Hydrogen 0.121 1.000
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Hydrogen 0.120 1.000
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Hydrogen|CC 0.120 1.000
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar 0.116 0.964
Investment|Energy Supply|Electricity|Solar|PV 0.116 0.964
Final Energy|Liquids 0.114 0.994
Capacity Additions|Heat|Processes 0.110 0.969
Final Energy|Liquids|Petroleum 0.110 0.993
Secondary Energy|Electricity 0.109 0.977
Capacity Additions|Electricity 0.106 0.951
Emissions|CO2|Efuels|Gases 0.103 0.973
Length Additions|Electricity|Transmission 0.103 0.954
System Cost|Capex|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop 0.103 0.983
Final Energy|Gases|Biomass 0.103 0.967
Capacity|Electricity|Solar|PV|Open Field 0.102 0.959
Investment|Energy Supply|Hydrogen|Transmission and Distribution|Endogen|Retrofitted 0.102 0.995
Capacity|Electricity|Solar|PV|Rooftop 0.102 0.980

NRMSE: Normalized (combined-min-max) Root Mean Square Error
Pearson: Pearson correlation coefficient
Threshold: NRMSE > 0.1
Only variables reaching the threshold are shown. Find the equivalent plot for all of them below.

Plots
Main branch Feature branch
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⚠️ Note: Only the first 20 variables are shown, but more are above the threshold. Find all of them in the artifacts.

General

Plots comparison
Main branch Feature branch
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Files comparison
Status NRMSE MAE (norm)
csvs/prices.csv ⚠️Changed 0.005 0.09
csvs/curtailment.csv ⚠️Changed 0.000 0.09
csvs/price_statistics.csv ⚠️Changed 0.037 0.11
csvs/cumulative_cost.csv ⚠️Changed 0.004 0.13
csvs/metrics.csv ⚠️Changed 0.006 0.10
csvs/nodal_cfs.csv ⚠️ NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_supply_energy.csv ⚠️ NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_capacities.csv ⚠️ NaN mismatch
csvs/nodal_costs.csv ⚠️ NaN mismatch
csvs/capacities.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.000 0.01
csvs/supply.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.003 0.03
csvs/market_values.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.081 0.04
csvs/cfs.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.040 0.00
csvs/costs.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.006 0.01
csvs/supply_energy.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.002 0.04
csvs/energy.csv ✅ Almost equal 0.002 0.02
csvs/weighted_prices.csv ✅ Equal

NRMSE: Normalized (combined-min-max) Root Mean Square Error
MAE (norm): Mean Absolute Error on normalized data (min-max)
Status Threshold: MAE (norm) > 0.05 and NRMSE > 0.3

Model Metrics

Benchmarks Image not available Image not available Image not available

Comparing enhance_ariadne_report (b0ffe65) with main (5233ab0).
Branch is 4 commits ahead and 0 commits behind.
Last updated on 2024-12-16 17:27:43 CET.

@lindnemi lindnemi marked this pull request as ready for review December 16, 2024 15:49
@lindnemi lindnemi merged commit e3a4a09 into main Dec 17, 2024
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