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This repo contains code and supplementary materials for paper "Towards importance of periodicity estimation in long-term spatio-temporal data prediction" presented on IJCNN 2025

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Towards importance of periodicity estimation in long-term spatio-temporal data prediction - IJCNN 2025

Content

This repo contains code and results of experiments with two types of predictive models for spatio-temporal data: CNN model and Diffusion model.

For each type of model experimental setup with five types of data was provided:

  • KTH dataset - videos that contains six actions: walk, jog, run, box, hand-wave, and hand clap;
  • MovingMnist - in each video sequence two digits move independently around the frame;
  • WeatherBench - benchmark dataset for data-driven weather forecasting. WeatherBenchLoader tool was used to touch dataset;
  • Sea ice concentration - OSISAF provider dataset;
  • Loop video - simple synthetic periodic video example.

The main goal of the experiments is correct usage of periodic component of spatio-temporal data as a prehistory (input frame number) for forecast. To explorate the period of data period map for sequence with FFT transform can be used. Examples of building period maps for sea ice and loop video presented in period_map.py.

Period map

Visualization of period map and scheme of its usage for forecasting:

loop_gif - example of periodic video. scheme

Models

models

CNN model used in experiments was implemented with TorchCNNBuilder tool for automatic resolution for automatic assimilation of different data resolutions.

Diffusion model was implemented in basic configuration with keynotes from paper.

Baselines were implemented as naive forecasts: mean 5 years for natural datasets (sea ice, WeatherBench), last element for media data.

Results

Sea Ice Concentration case

sea_ice

Loop video case

drawing - source gif image

anime

Source materials

Paper text present main goal, extensive results and conclusion of the work.

Additional information can be found in supplementary materials.

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This repo contains code and supplementary materials for paper "Towards importance of periodicity estimation in long-term spatio-temporal data prediction" presented on IJCNN 2025

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