From 879d802d18789b2a422812263bf21a5df01bcf9a Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: rolandshen Date: Fri, 4 Oct 2013 20:29:49 -0700 Subject: [PATCH] Update README.md --- README.md | 15 +++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 15 insertions(+) diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 386c7d4..963ec3c 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -1,2 +1,17 @@ iteration-1 =========== +## Notes from Stark Lecture +-measure earthquake as a stochastic process using poisson process and memoryless +-properties to predice earthquakes estimate how big earthquakes are using moments +in physics earthquake probability is a metaphor claims that events occur as if +in a casino game, why not like terrorism instead? +-La quila earthquake in italy 2010 +-Urn model is just an assumption, just because there is a rate that there is +a probability + +-analogy of earthquake prediction to weather prediction obviously you would +predict differently based on past events like if it rains today, it is more +likely to rain tomorrow than it would in a summer. if an earthquake happens, +aftershocks will be more likely to happen + +-assuming that something is random is a big assumption to make