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Problem: there is no data about the speed of mortality.
Most of the deaths so far are in Wuhan (or at least Hubei). These deaths might just be patients from earlier on (december, early january) before the virus started spreading to other places. This would explain why the deaths are mostly around the epicenter.
If there is data about when the deceased victims first contracted the virus then it would help in calculating how bad the death rate is going to get.
Another way to think about it is the lag time between the virus spreading to a new region => virus starts killing.
Is the central government releasing this kind of data?
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